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The Multifamily Newsletter

Cautious Optimism for 2026 Apartment Investment Market

Apartment investors head into 2026 with the same cautious optimism they felt at the start of 2025 and 2024. Both operators and investors have a firm grip on the “cautious” part of their cautious optimism. Recent years have proved the dual importance of efficient operations and investor diligence. However, some changes in the current environment could create more opportunities for multifamily investors. With less new supply, apartment operators and investors may finally see rent growth and higher occupancy. Declining interest rates could spur more sales activity in the still-stagnant multifamily investment market. After the last two years, it would be easy to expect 2026 to look a lot like 2025. Savvy multifamily investors, however, will be ready to take advantage of the real growth expected this year.


National YoY Rent Growth Average, November 2025*

-0.23%

* Based on data from RealPage, Zillow, Yardi Matrix, Apartment List, and CoStar

National Occupancy Average, November 2025*

93.5%

* Based on data from RealPage, Yardi Matrix, Apartment List, and CoStar


10-Year Treasury

4.19%↑

7-Year Treasury

3.95%↑

5-Year Treasury

3.74%↑


SOFR

3.75%↓

Federal Funds Rate

3.64%↓


Housing and Multifamily in 2025 and 2026

The Most Popular Housing Markets in 2025: Midwest Shines (Zillow)

What We Got Right – and Wrong – About the Apartment Market in 2025 (RealPage)

The 2025 Housing Affordability Crisis in Charts: What Changed and What Didn’t (Investopedia)

Q4 2025 recap: cooling demand, cautious capital, and signals from housing’s next cycle (John Burns Research and Consulting)


Multifamily and the CRE Investment Market

Luxury Apartments Are Bringing Rent Down in Some Big Cities (Bloomberg)

48 CRE Insiders On The Decisions That Will Make — Or Break — 2026 (Bisnow)

Boston Went Big on Luxury Condos. The Buyers Didn’t Show Up. (The Wall Street Journal)

What $30B More in GSE Firepower Really Buys Multifamily (GlobeSt)


Interest Rates and Housing Market Growth

The End of 3% Mortgages: Why the Mortgage Lock-In Effect Is Fading in 2026 (Reventure)

Big Changes Are Coming to the Federal Reserve in 2026—This Is What It Means for Interest Rates (Realtor.com)

CMBS Delinquency Rate Inches Back Up in December, but Office Retreats Again (Trepp)

2026 Underwriting Will Be Ruthless About Who Gets Refinanced (GlobeSt)


The Housing Market and the Labor Market

Demand for Commercial Space Rising Despite Softening Labor Market (Marcus & Millichap)

The 11 large U.S. cities where home prices are expected to rise the most in 2026 (CNBC)

Immigration and the Homebuilding Labor Market (The Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies)

Housing crisis policy proposals should include “steadier, more affordable financing for multifamily projects” (The Hill)


Subscribe Today to Our Weekly Email Newsletter

This newsletter is for informational purposes only and do not constitute an offer to sell nor a solicitation to purchase interests in J and G Capital, LLC (the “Company”) or any affiliate or assign nor any other securities. This newsletter is not financial advice, and the and newsletter does not purport to contain all information that is or could be material to an investor in deciding whether to make an investment in the Company. An investment in the Company is subject to a variety of significant risks and considerations that are detailed in the Company’s Subscription Agreement, Disclosure of Investment Risks, Operating Agreement, and related documents (the “Offering Documents”). Prospective investors are advised to review the Offering Documents and consult their own legal, financial, and tax advisors regarding any potential investment in the Company. Subscriptions for an investment in the Company will not be accepted from any prospective investor unless and until such prospective investor has received and fully reviewed a copy of the Offering Documents and has executed and delivered all documents required in connection with such investment. Past performance may not be indicative of future results.

J+G Companies
21 S Rangeline Rd, Suite 300A
Carmel, IN 46032

317.818.0926

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